2023 NFL Conference Championship Picks

NFL Picks for Bets and Contests

The NFL Divisional playoff games last week did not disappoint. The first game between Houston and Baltimore was the only blowout of the weekend. San Francisco scored a touchdown with 1:07 remaining in the game to take the lead and get the win. Buffalo had a chance to tie the game and potentially force overtime, but BUF kicker Bass missed the kick wide right. And while the TB/DET game did feel lopsided, somehow TB was able to stay close enough to only lose by a single score.

The head coaching carousel was very active this week with the Chargers, Panthers, Titans and Falcons all getting their new man in charge. The curious non-hire would be Belichick with the Falcons, and now with only Seattle and Washington with openings, I wonder if Belichick will sit out this season. I always suspected Washington as a sleeper candidate for Belichick because he’s spent considerable amount of time in that area while growing up. There haven’t been many mentions or connections between Washington and Belichick, I truly suspect they are waiting for Ben Johnson, but maybe Bill ends up here instead.

Here are the bets I’m making for the NFL Conference Championship games:

  • KC/BAL UNDER 44.5
  • San Francisco -7

Good luck this week!

Overall: 56-59-6 ATS

Divisional Picks: 1-1

  • Tampa Bay +6 – L
  • 2-team 7-point teaser Baltimore -2.5 & San Francisco-2.5 – W

Wild Card Picks: 3-0

  • Kansas City -4.5 – W
  • LA Rams +3 – W
  • 2-team 6.5-point teaser Houston +9 & Buffalo -2.5 – W

Week 18 Picks: 2-5

  • Cincinnati -7 – W
  • Minnesota +3.5 – L
  • Carolina +4.5 – L
  • Atlanta +3 – L
  • Denver +3 – L
  • LA Chargers -3.5 – L
  • Dallas -13 – W

Week 17 Picks: 2-2-1

  • Miami +3.5 – L
  • Indianapolis -3.5 – L
  • Carolina +4 – L
  • NY Giants +6 – W
  • New Orleans +2.5 – W
  • Pittsburgh +3.5 – W

Week 16 Picks: 2-2-1

  • NY Jets -3 – L
  • Minnesota +3 – L
  • Atlanta -2.5 – W
  • Carolina +4.5 – W
  • Dallas +2 – P

Week 15 Picks: 4-2-1

  • Minnesota +3 – P
  • Pittsburgh +1.5 – L
  • Detroit -4.5 – W
  • Carolina +3 – W
  • New Orleans -5.5 – W
  • Arizona +12 – L
  • Buffalo -2 – W

Week 14 Picks: 5-1

  • LA Rams +7.5 – W
  • Chicago +3 – W
  • Buffalo +1 – W
  • LA Chargers -2.5 – L
  • Dallas -3.5 – W
  • NY Giants +6.5 – W

Week 13 Picks: 3-3

  • NY Jets +2 – L
  • Tennessee +1 – L
  • New Orleans +4.5 – L
  • Carolina +3.5 – W
  • San Francisco -3 – W
  • Green Bay +6 – W

Week 12 Picks: 3-2-1

  • New England -3.5 – L
  • Atlanta +1.5 – W
  • LA Rams -2.5 – W
  • Buffalo +3 – P
  • LA Chargers +3 – L
  • Chicago +3 – W

Week 11 Picks: 2-3-1

  • Cleveland -1.5 – W
  • Chicago +8 – W
  • Carolina +10.5- L
  • LA Rams -1 – P
  • Denver -2.5- L
  • Kansas City -2.5- L

Week 10 Picks: 4-3

  • New England +2- L
  • Cleveland +6 – W
  • Green Bay +3- L
  • New Orleans -2.5- L
  • Tampa Bay -2.5 – W
  • Arizona +2 – W
  • Denver +7.5 – W

Week 9 Picks: 0-5

  • Seattle +6 – L
  • Houston -3 – L
  • New Orleans -8.5 – L
  • Carolina +2 – L
  • Dallas +3 – L

Week 8 Picks: 4-3; 4-2 ATS 0-1 O/U

  • New Orleans -2 – W
  • Tennessee +2.5 – W
  • Green Bay +1 – L
  • Carolina +3.5 – W
  • Denver +7 – W
  • San Francisco -5.5 – L
  • NE/MIA UNDER 47 – L

Week 7 Picks: 5-4; 4-1 ATS 1-3 O/U

  • New England +7.5 – W
  • Baltimore -3 – W
  • Chicago +2.5 – W
  • LA Chargers +5.5 – L
  • Philadelphia -3 – W
  • BUF/NE UNDER 40 – L
  • WAS/NYG UNDER 37.5 – W
  • DET/BAL UNDER 43 – L
  • LAC/KC UNDER 47.5 – L

Week 6 Picks: 3-6; 1-4 ATS 2-2 O/U

  • Seattle +2.5 – L
  • Indianapolis +4 – L
  • New England +3 – L
  • Tampa Bay +3 – L
  • NY Jets +7 – W
  • MIN/CHI UNDER 43.5 – W
  • SF/CLE UNDER 35.5 – L
  • IND/JAX UNDER 44 – L
  • PHI/NYJ UNDER 42.5 – W

Week 5 Picks: 2-2-1 ATS

  • Atlanta -2 – P
  • Pittsburgh +4.5 – W
  • LA Rams +4 – L
  • Minnesota +3.5 – L
  • Las Vegas -2 – W

Week 4 Picks: 3-3 ATS

  • Buffalo – 2.5 – W
  • Houston +3 – W
  • Indianapolis +1 – L
  • Tennessee +2.5 – W
  • New Orleans -3.5 – L
  • Arizona +14 – L

Week 3 Picks: 2-4 ATS

  • Indianapolis +8 – W
  • Houston +7.5 – W
  • Washington +6 – L
  • Atlanta +3 – L
  • Las Vegas – 2.5 – L
  • Tampa Bay +5 – L

Week 2 Picks: 1-5-1 ATS

  • Cincinnati -3 – L
  • Houston -1 – L
  • Tennessee +2.5 – W
  • Atlanta -1.5 – L
  • Denver -3.5 – L
  • New England +3 – L
  • Carolina +3 – P

Week 1 Picks: 4-2 ATS

  • Tampa Bay +5.5 – W
  • Pittsburgh +2.5 (I also bet a little on the money line) – L
  • Cleveland +2 (I also bet a little on the money line) – W
  • Tennessee +3 – W
  • New England +4 – L
  • Green Bay +1.5 – W

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