2023 NFL Week 1 Picks

ATS Picks for Bets and Contests

The 2023 NFL season officially kicked off with DET at KC on TNF. I don’t like betting on TNF games, so I probably won’t have any posts for those games, but if there is something I like on TNF, I will add a Thursday post to cover that game. Moving forward, weekly posts will be published on Saturday’s around 2 pm eastern. These are the picks I use for my bets and my contest entries at Circa Millions, SuperContest and DraftKings pick ’em pool. The lines for the contests might vary, so I will use the lines at DraftKings as of the publication.

My system flagged 9 games, but I decided against backing the 3 rookie quarterbacks, leaving 6 picks for week 1.

  • Tampa Bay +5.5
  • Pittsburgh +2.5 (I also bet a little on the money line)
  • Cleveland +2 (I also bet a little on the money line)
  • Tennessee +3
  • New England +4
  • Green Bay +1.5

For contest entries, TB and TEN are used on 1 entry each, the other 4 teams are used on 2 entries. If you want to play the rookies, my system flagged HOU +9.5, IND +4.5 and CAR +3.5.

Good luck this week

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