NFL Week 1 Picks
The 2026 NFL season is underway — and our four models are locked in. From the Original and New Mexico to the newly debuted Zed and AIP, here are all of our Week 1 picks against the spread, pool entries, and personal bets.
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NFL Survivor Pool Week 1 Picks
The -7 Rule is back for Week 1. This week’s survivor picks — Chargers -8.5, Jaguars -8.5, and Lions -7 — check every box of the strategy. Big favorites. Minimal risk. Maximum survival. Here’s the breakdown.
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NFL Survivor Strategy 2026
A data-driven NFL survivor pool strategy for 2026 built on 9 years of historical analysis. Includes full week-by-week picks for DraftKings and Circa Survivor.
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2025 Week 15 NFL Contest Picks
Insights into NFL week 15 picks for various contests, emphasizing team performances, matchups, and betting lines for upcoming games.
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NFL 2025 Week 14 Original Model
The original model achieved a 3-2 record in week 13, totaling 36-29 for the season. This week, it and the New Mexico model agree on picks for Denver and the Chargers.
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2025 Week 14 NFL Contest Picks
In week 14, the New Mexico model shifts focus to underdogs, favoring Washington, Chicago, Houston, and the LA Chargers in various contests. The performance in previous weeks has been mixed, with swings influenced by player injuries and team dynamics.
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NFL Survivor 2025 Week 14
In week 14, picking a team is challenging due to limited options. Seattle remains strong, but the author favors Tampa Bay against New Orleans, considering the Saints’ offensive struggles and injuries.
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NFL 2025 Week 13 Original Model
The weekly DraftKings Pick’em highlights late contest submissions due to ongoing simulations. The original model is 33-27 overall, with significant head-to-head success against the New Mexico model and week 13 picks noted.
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NFL Survivor 2025 Week 13
In Week 12, I backed the Lions, who won in overtime. As the season progresses, I’m considering the Seahawks against the Vikings due to favorable conditions for my survivor pick.
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2025 Week 13 NFL Contest Picks
This week’s NFL picks emphasize the importance of line shopping across sportsbooks. Notable matchups include Lions-Packers, Colts-Texans, and Steelers-Bills. The original model shows strong performance, contrasting with the New Mexico model’s inconsistency.
