Eight seasons. 126 quarterback acquisitions. One clear winner. We crunched the numbers on every rookie debut and free agent signing from 2018–2025 to find out which QB type actually delivers at the fantasy level — and the data doesn’t lie.
Rookie hype or veteran reliability — who wins the Year One battle at running back? We tracked 387 RBs across 8 seasons of full-PPR data. Free agents hold the edge. Rookies own the ceiling. Here’s what that means on draft day.
Free-agent WRs outproduced rookies in 6 of 8 seasons. But when a first-round wideout hits? He hits like Jefferson, Chase, and Nabers. Eight years of PPR data break down which side actually wins — and when to bet against the trend.